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Table 5 Multiple regression models for predicting SPBC (70)

From: Factors affecting the survival probability of becoming a centenarian for those aged 70, based on the human mortality database: income, health expenditure, telephone, and sanitation

Model 1

(1) Y1 = - 50.959 + 2.450E-5 X1 + 9.692 X2 + 1.268 X3 + 0.327 X4 + En

 

R2= 0.422, F-Value=4.933, P=0.004

Model 2

 

(2) Y2 = - 30.612 + 0.00001 X1 + 1.984 X2 + 0.586 X3 + 0.412 X4 + En

 

R2 = 0.303, F-Value =2.939, P = 0.039

Model 3

 

(3) Y3 = - 89.981 + 0.00001 X1 + 15.034 X2 + 1.974 X3 + 0.512 X4 + En

 

R2 = 0.439, F-Value = 5.278, P = 0.0031

  1. Model 1, 2, 3:
  2. : Economic level (+) Health expenditure (+) Using fixed and mobile telephone (+) Sanitation.
  3. Y1 = SPBC (70) MF.
  4. Y2 = SPBC (70) M.
  5. Y3 = SPBC (70) F.
  6. X1 = GNI.
  7. X2 = PEHGDP.
  8. X3 = FMTS.
  9. X4 = ISF.
  10. SPBC (70): Survival probability of becoming a centenarian for those aged 70 (per 10,000).
  11. MF: Females and Males, M: Males, F: Females.
  12. GNI: Gross National Income per capita (constant 2005 international $) (1990–2010).
  13. PEHGDP: Public expenditure on health as a percentage of GDP (% of GDP) (2000–2010).
  14. FMTS: Fixed and mobile telephone subscribers (per 100 people) (1980–1990).
  15. ISF: Proportion of the population using improved sanitation facilities (%), urban (2005–2010).
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BMC Geriatrics

ISSN: 1471-2318

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